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Vast oil and gas reserves help to warm relations with Libya

Written By Guru Cool on Tuesday, August 18, 2009 | 1:24 AM

The Times
Robin Pagnamenta, Energy Editor

At 42 billion barrels, Libya has the largest proven oil reserves of any African country — equal to about 3 per cent of the global total. Its gas reserves are some 1.5 trillion cubic metres, the fourth-largest in Africa.

But Libya remains relatively unexplored, and the potential for fresh discoveries means that the true total could be far higher. That is why Libya’s return to the international fold has triggered a scramble for drilling rights among international oil companies.

Three of Britain’s biggest — BP, Royal Dutch Shell and BG — have already signed preliminary deals to provide cash and expertise to develop Libya’s investment-starved oil and gas industry. Shell signed in 2004, only months after Libya publicly abandoned plans to develop weapons of mass destruction, and the UN Security Council voted unanimously to lift sanctions.

BP’s much bigger deal, worth an estimated $900 million, was announced in 2007 during a visit by Tony Blair, then Prime Minister, to Tripoli. The company, which withdrew from Libya in 1974 when the country nationalised its oil industry, will explore 54,000sq km — at the onshore Ghadames and offshore Sirte basins.

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British companies are competing against a host of rivals including Total, of France, the American ConocoPhillips, China National Petroleum Corp and Gazprom, the Russian state-controlled producer.

The British Government also has a strong vested interest in the programme. With North Sea gas running out fast, it hopes that Libya could become an alternative to Russia as a source of supply. By 2015, Britain could be importing as much as 80 per cent of its gas needs, up from 40 per cent now.

Exploration work in Libya in the 1960s identified at least ten fields each with more than a billion barrels of oil. Modern techniques could uncover more, and vast areas of the Libyan Sahara remain unexplored. Exploration licences cover only one third of the country. A spokesman for BP said that — if its exploration programmes offshore and in the country’s west are successful — it could invest $20 billion or more over the next 20 years building refineries, pipelines, petrochemical and liquefied natural gas plants to allow exports to the UK and elsewhere.

Libya, a member of the Opec cartel, which earns more than 95 per cent of its export revenue from oil and gas, is suffering from the impact of weaker oil prices this year. It desperately needs foreign investment to boost production, which at 1.8 million barrels a day is only a little more than half its peak of 3.3 million barrels in 1970.

John Mitchell, an oil industry specialist at Chatham House, the foreign policy think-tank, said: “There has not been much investment, so the Libyans do need the money. There is probably a lot more oil and gas there waiting to be discovered.” But fossil fuels are not the only source of interest for foreign companies.

British engineering firms such as Halcrow have won engineering contracts in the country, while France is pushing to sell Libya nuclear reactor technology.
1:24 AM | 0 comments

BBC Hardtalk Interview with President Paul Kagame Aired March 17, 2009

Written By Guru Cool on Wednesday, March 18, 2009 | 1:28 AM

BBC News
17 March 2009

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/programmes/hardtalk/7948535.stm

Editor's Note: You must have Real Player installed to watch the interview on this website.

Alternate site: http://www.youtube.com/view_play_list?p=2FB04FD33AFB907D&search_query=hardtalk+bbc+kagame

In a Hardtalk interview broadcast on 17th March 2009, Stephen Sackur talks to Paul Kagame, the current President of the country of Rwanda.

As the global economic downturn continues to bite, Paul Kagame, the President of Rwanda, has been impressing on western leaders not to scale back their support for Africa.

His case, however, has not been helped by widespread western donor countries' unease about Rwanda's role in neighbouring Democratic Republic of Congo.

Does Rwanda risk losing international support as it flexes its regional muscle?

President Kagame talks to Hardtalk interviewer Stephen Sackur.

This interview will be shown on BBC World News at 0430, 0930, 1430, 1830 (except Middle East and South Asia) and 2130 GMT.

HARDtalk is also broadcast on the BBC News channel at 04:30 & 23:30 GMT.
1:28 AM | 0 comments

The Gersony "Report": It's Findings and more

Written By Guru Cool on Monday, December 3, 2007 | 1:31 AM

In 1994, as the UNHCR and the U.S. Embassy in Kigali encouraged Rwandan Hutu refugees to come back to Rwanda, reports of wide-scale massacres emanated out of the countryside. The UNHCR appointed a team (led by Robert Gersony) to investigate the conditions in Rwanda for refugee return. This team was unique because it was the only team that was allowed to travel freely though the country without RPA escorts. They visited 41 communes and 9 refugee camps to collect evidence. In his findings, Mr. Gersony states he believes that the RPA may have committed genocide against Hutu in Kibungo, Butare, and parts of Kigali and between early April to mid-September 1994, the RPF killed between 25,000-45,000 Rwandans, both Hutu and Tutsi. At times, Hutu prisoners were used as slave labor to dig the mass graves and dump the bodies in.
The report was so damaging to the UNHCR, RPF and UNAMIR that UN officials covered it up in October 1994, despite the fact UNHCR officials on the ground (on the order of UNHCR head Ms. Sagato Ogata) stopped encouraging Rwandan Hutu refugees to return to Rwanda because of the killings, as reported in the New York Times at the end of September. Mr. Gersony was instructed never to talk about it publicly. The public would even be told in later years that the report never existed. In her book "The Turbulent Decade," Ms. Ogata describes Gersony "formalizing his report for presentation to the commision of experts" on October 11, 1994. In his recent book on the Congo, Mr. Gerard Prunier said Kofi Annan told then VP Kagame, the late Seth Sendashonga (then Interior Minister), PM Faustin Twagiramungu, and President Pasteur Bizimungu the UN would withhold the report to allow the RPF government time to consolidate after providing them with a copy of the report. The report made its way to the UN Commission of Experts on Human Rights via then UN Secretary General Boutros-Boutros Ghali. Mr. Gersony briefed the commission in Geneva. However, they inexplicably basically dismissed the report (pg. 15). Mr. Gersony later allegedly told Mr. Prunier during a meeting with him that he had never written a "fully developed version" of his findings because he knew they would not be published. Instead, he had only "field notes" in "documentary form." (pg. 466) When Alison des Forges made several requests to the UN for the report, she was told the report didn't exist.
The report was also potentially damaging to the United States, a strong supporter of the new Rwandan government. As described by Mr. Prunier in his book, then Undersecretary of State for Global Affairs Timothy Wirth was given orders by the State Department to discredit the report. Mr. Wirth travelled to Kigali and several places in New York, spreading disinformation by attacking Gersony's methodology and claiming it was a "Hutu conspiracy." He also delivered carefully crafted propagandic press statements. (pg. 31)

Though an official written report doesn't exist, a cable from Mr. Shaharyar Kahn to UN HQ in New York gives the findings and is available below. Mr. Gersony and his team subjectively concluded from the investigation that the RPA committed genocide against the Hutu. The cable also shows Kofi Annan (then Under Secretary General for Peacekeeping) and Mrs. Sagato Ogata, High Commissioner of the UNHCR, expressing concern if the report were to be released publicly. According to Mr. Kahn, he and Mr. Annan later concluded that RPA massacres did occur, but they were not genocide.

"By not publishing the Gersony report and other information about RPF´s massacres, a blank cheque was issued to continue the murders," said academic Rwandan expert Dr. Filip Reyntjens of the University of Antwerp to Denmark newspaper "Information" writer Gunnar Willum. Dr. Reyntjens went on to say in the article of 28 June 1999, "Publication of the report would have prevented the RPF to commit the massacre of over 200,000 Hutu refugees in Zaire," says Reyntjens. "The RPF has used the genocide to legitimate massacres on this civilian population. The same way that Israel has used the holocaust to legitimate attacks on the Palestinians," says Reyntjens.

According to the same article, then UN Secretary General Kofi Annan summoned the Rwandese UN Ambassador in 1999 in order to ask the Rwandese Government to soften its criticism of Annan in connection with an internal UN enquiry of the UN Secretariat's role in the genocide in 1994. The enquiry was carried out, as a result of the newspaper Information´s disclosures in autumn 1996 that UN top officials received many warnings that genocide was under way, which were all ignored.

The second cable is from Refugees International, who had a station across the Tanzanian-Rwandan border. It describes in detail some of the RPA massacres and served as input for the Gersony Report.

Cable 1: (Gersony Cable)
Cable 2: (Refugees International)
Thanks to Canadian Barrister and ICTR defense counsel Mr. Chris Black for providing these pdf documents. References to Mr. Prunier's book do not necessarily constitute an endorsement of his book.
1:31 AM | 0 comments

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